MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447a6631a3d6018ccb91de061005332db13f0e546e1818e9d3ddc051660be06e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Twins, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Astros | 48c | 14,044$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,302.83 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 52c | 13,536$7,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,038.6 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 49c | 4,026$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Twins | 52c | 3,856$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 76c | 3,602$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 17c | 2,491$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.77 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Twins | 50c | 2,000$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.35 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Twins | 50c | 1,924$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.94 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 48c | 1,352$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Twins | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 2c | 866$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 4c | 814.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Astros | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Twins | 6c | 770.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Astros | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 49c | 594$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.94 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Twins | 9c | 505.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Twins | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 50c | 499.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Twins | 50c | 499.19$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Twins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 50c | 418$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Twins | 42c | 410.63$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.65 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 49c | 400.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 3c | 399.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Astros | 49c | 399.97$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 36c | 369$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 10c | 288.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 48c | 279.73$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 49c | 229.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Astros | 57c | 181.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Astros | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 49c | 143.14$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Astros | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Twins | 47c | 121.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0950…e9c3backed Astros | 50c | 105.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…cbddbacked Twins | 51c | 104.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…fe4bbacked Twins | 50c | 101.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…b622backed Twins | 50c | 101.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939e…c40ebacked Astros | 51c | 101.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 50c | 101$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Astros | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Twins | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Twins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Twins | 49c | 99.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…a4fdbacked Astros | 50c | 99.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…9b67backed Astros | 50c | 99.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…89e5backed Twins | 51c | 98.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…1ce4backed Twins | 51c | 97.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a2…ecc9backed Twins | 51c | 96.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…ddb8backed Astros | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…9336backed Twins | 51c | 92.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7f…e57dbacked Astros | 50c | 92.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…db8cbacked Twins | 50c | 92.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x384b…d038backed Astros | 51c | 91.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Astros | 50c | 91.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…9a39backed Astros | 51c | 90.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e8…6e0bbacked Twins | 51c | 89.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Astros | 49c | 86.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…d5dabacked Astros | 50c | 85.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 49c | 81.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 52c | 69.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Twins | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Twins | 52c | 56.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Astros | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Astros | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Twins | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Twins | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Astros | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Astros | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Astros | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Astros | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Astros | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Astros | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Astros | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Astros | 50c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.