TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. Louis Cardinalsof Tampa Bay Rays, St. Louis Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$319,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,054 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Tampa Bay Rays26c36,798$9,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,410.5115550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Tampa Bay Rays55c32,700$17,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,9851560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c29,135$15,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,863.4950153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked St. Louis Cardinals45c21,971$9,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,084.112733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked St. Louis Cardinals50c20,957$10,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,403.4721656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals60c17,573$10,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,029.8898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed St. Louis Cardinals45c17,262$7,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,493.921145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Tampa Bay Rays55c16,929$9,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,311.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked St. Louis Cardinals45c12,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.9915148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed St. Louis Cardinals45c11,430$5,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,286.523538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Tampa Bay Rays55c11,021$6,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,061.557839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked St. Louis Cardinals45c10,989$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,043.891921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed St. Louis Cardinals45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50060451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed St. Louis Cardinals43c8,195$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,711.2854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Tampa Bay Rays1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803112.9%4 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick3cpaid+339.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Tampa Bay Rays55c7,765$4,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,270.7530647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed St. Louis Cardinals45c5,972$2,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.566350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays52c5,152$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.4112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked St. Louis Cardinals45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Tampa Bay Rays55c4,811$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.0584049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals46c4,444$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.9867250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals45c4,417$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.3732348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked St. Louis Cardinals45c3,383$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.7946547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals43c3,114$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.3434164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays20c2,980$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays53c2,851$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.871,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked St. Louis Cardinals46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c2,220$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22112247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals31c2,000$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.376,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Tampa Bay Rays55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026245.8%120 W · 142 L-17.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tampa Bay Rays54c1,759$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.161,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals45c1,563$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.82965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals19c1,545$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.146,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed St. Louis Cardinals47c1,528$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.694148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals46c1,494$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.731,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Tampa Bay Rays55c1,433$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.1575049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed St. Louis Cardinals47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.836752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Tampa Bay Rays79c1,060$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.811,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked St. Louis Cardinals44c1,012$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.767247.2%34 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5505,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Tampa Bay Rays1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed St. Louis Cardinals6c988$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.061,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Tampa Bay Rays53c950$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed St. Louis Cardinals47c893.57$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.591747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed St. Louis Cardinals48c892.73$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.536254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Tampa Bay Rays55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Tampa Bay Rays42c710.95$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022448.7%109 W · 115 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals40c646.01$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.639,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals54c625.34$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.071,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Tampa Bay Rays52c619.26$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.821,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tampa Bay Rays54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32495850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed St. Louis Cardinals59c592.66$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7535137%130 W · 221 L-17.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Tampa Bay Rays19c578.9$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2854715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Tampa Bay Rays48c541.08$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.051,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed Tampa Bay Rays55c534$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.72653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ce…0a8ebacked St. Louis Cardinals47c532$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.961050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Tampa Bay Rays14c522.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.211844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays42c509.53$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.941,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Tampa Bay Rays54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2706437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Tampa Bay Rays30c458.03$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.453743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Tampa Bay Rays5c438.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.822825%7 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Tampa Bay Rays61c413.74$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1329950.5%151 W · 148 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked St. Louis Cardinals47c400$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21435245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa33e…c742backed Tampa Bay Rays56c399.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Tampa Bay Rays55c397.87$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8317151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aed…7896backed Tampa Bay Rays51c393.04$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals47c386.97$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.331,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tampa Bay Rays75c360$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.61,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed St. Louis Cardinals34c350$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23165651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed St. Louis Cardinals4c321.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.212540%10 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick52cpaid+76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x025d…c171backed Tampa Bay Rays50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed St. Louis Cardinals49c309.09$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.1555541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Tampa Bay Rays52c307.14$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed St. Louis Cardinals45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16511647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked St. Louis Cardinals16c300$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2527128.2%20 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Tampa Bay Rays53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Tampa Bay Rays55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1657135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed St. Louis Cardinals46c293.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.340846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9378…4aefbacked Tampa Bay Rays71c282.58$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Tampa Bay Rays55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Tampa Bay Rays53c266.22$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.150751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed St. Louis Cardinals46c260.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.817050%85 W · 85 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals45c250$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.51,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed St. Louis Cardinals46c240$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.610240.2%41 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed St. Louis Cardinals58c235.48$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.927256.9%41 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed St. Louis Cardinals45c222$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.11,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Tampa Bay Rays55c216.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11912257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c216$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.811953.8%64 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed St. Louis Cardinals47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7714953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Tampa Bay Rays7c202.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.583929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays55c200.02$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.436,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked St. Louis Cardinals47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1063,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Tampa Bay Rays59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked St. Louis Cardinals44c192$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5712265.6%80 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4b…ec7bbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c188.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tampa Bay Rays51c185.79$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9665050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd4…d78bbacked St. Louis Cardinals45c180.96$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.531850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…919cbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.