Champions League · resolved market
Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Fluminense?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25a019f706c1332e44146b58badf5dd39e4b4c4f9d693a25d32e4d603a7e957
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 31c | 5,642$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.29 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 69c | 3,714$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.53 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 15c | 3,105$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.73 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 55c | 1,919$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.03 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 14c | 932.64$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 49c | 740.58$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.21 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 14c | 690.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 65c | 577.87$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 11c | 567.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…00f2backed No | 52c | 549.38$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…d4cbbacked Yes | 14c | 431.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 15c | 281.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 14c | 228.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…e181backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 33c | 168.41$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 35c | 158.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 74c | 133.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 12c | 116.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…dac2backed Yes | 12c | 85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed Yes | 35c | 43.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 65c | 21.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…17e8backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Fluminense?this page
- Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?Yes won
- Will Fluminense vs. Ulsan Hyundai end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.