Champions League · resolved market
Will Fluminense vs. Ulsan Hyundai end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6602e81d1c6775e81e64067f23862af969f76ae6c050e06ec9b420c8f18002de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 69c | 2,516$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.68 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 14c | 1,172$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 50c | 1,010$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.31 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 56c | 745.56$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 80c | 730$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 30c | 584.87$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yes | 33c | 227.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…ebc5backed Yes | 11c | 157.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 31c | 82.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…487cbacked Yes | 32c | 68.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked No | 77c | 65.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes | 32c | 31.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense vs. Ulsan Hyundai end in a draw?this page
- Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?Yes won
- Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Fluminense?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.