Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $200 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d37bdaa1b1ef5ea62269e4ed15f9ffe1ef40268604017529478b816490005b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 8c | 32,626$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.79 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68a…c568backed Yes | 2c | 15,384$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.99 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 14,500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 20c | 10,589$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.07 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 16c | 10,000$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.07 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 15c | 7,972$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.26 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 19c | 7,309$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.57 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 2c | 7,072$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 6,226$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,997$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 19c | 5,772$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.85 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,686$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed No | 77c | 5,119$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…6c7cbacked No | 76c | 4,765$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…7511backed No | 79c | 4,000$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 26c | 3,955$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.22 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 13c | 1,657$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…653ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,588$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.86 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,564$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86c…98aabacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a4…eff2backed Yes | 15c | 1,490$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,402$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa20e…b72abacked Yes | 5c | 1,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7f…3ef4backed Yes | 1c | 1,259$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2cf1backed No | 77c | 1,208$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.36 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…4438backed Yes | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed Yes | 26c | 1,143$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.4 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…054cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,017$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 711.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…c966backed No | 79c | 699.98$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…0828backed Yes | 3c | 574.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe73d…65cabacked Yes | 10c | 532.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0921…263ebacked Yes | 11c | 511.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…0d42backed Yes | 30c | 504.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -93.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151a…95bbbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes | 23c | 470.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 325 | 24.3%79 W · 246 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…59a0backed Yes | 22c | 433.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.31 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…8643backed Yes | 28c | 411.11$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…e29abacked Yes | 11c | 403.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…9d01backed Yes | 7c | 403.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…46e5backed Yes | 20c | 398.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 24c | 333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 9c | 330$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…04e2backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 276$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 18c | 233.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…d930backed No | 79c | 216.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…b534backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…c5a3backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…c11dbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…8250backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…ac1abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…beb6backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…c4ecbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…2961backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…4aa7backed No | 74c | 111$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…e601backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 100.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…4f45backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cb…3d77backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15af…ad0bbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…d2eabacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…6038backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…895abacked No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 22c | 76.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…68cabacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…52e1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $200 in June?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in June?Yes won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in June?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.