TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $200 in June?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd02…aba7backed Yes8c32,626$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.796124.6%15 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-56%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68a…c568backed Yes2c15,384$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.9922216.2%36 W · 186 L-14.9wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6590…3a26backed Yes0c14,500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192290%0 W · 229 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes20c10,589$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.0758126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45af…9158backed Yes16c10,000$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.075514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9af…05adbacked Yes15c7,972$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.266018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes19c7,309$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.577328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Yes2c7,072$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.44180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes1c6,226$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9405%2 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes2c5,997$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.96810.3%7 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-77.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes19c5,772$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.8563835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes0c5,686$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.628920.2%18 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4851…1e94backed No77c5,119$3,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.062548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012025%30 W · 90 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7db…6c7cbacked No76c4,765$3,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed No79c4,000$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8584953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes26c3,955$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.227949.4%39 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes9c3,500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31015023.3%35 W · 115 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc0…1b66backed Yes13c1,657$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d9…653ebacked Yes18c1,588$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.862142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-35.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,564$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked No80c1,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3008470.2%59 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd86c…98aabacked No79c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154667.4%31 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a4…eff2backed Yes15c1,490$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.078713.8%12 W · 75 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Yes7c1,402$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.13240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+31.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa20e…b72abacked Yes5c1,400$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b7f…3ef4backed Yes1c1,259$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a1…2cf1backed No77c1,208$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.36887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca4…9837backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003721.6%8 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94da…4438backed Yes30c1,150$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34540%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7689…2fa9backed Yes26c1,143$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.43452.9%18 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+36.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a8c…054cbacked Yes7c1,017$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752524%6 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-54.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes22c800$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17611442.1%48 W · 66 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes4c711.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6711619%22 W · 94 L-7.9wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-62%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x729a…c966backed No79c699.98$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df3…0828backed Yes3c574.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe73d…65cabacked Yes10c532.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5280%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0921…263ebacked Yes11c511.27$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.24368.3%3 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick8cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13b6…0d42backed Yes30c504.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-93.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151a…95bbbacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1dc…92e7backed Yes23c470.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7432524.3%79 W · 246 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f5…59a0backed Yes22c433.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.312317.4%4 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick12cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a50…8643backed Yes28c411.11$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.11911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04d7…e29abacked Yes11c403.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.39520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x877e…9d01backed Yes7c403.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…46e5backed Yes20c398.65$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.734231%13 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+269.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes24c333$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8db…243dbacked Yes9c330$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.445115.7%8 W · 43 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d9…04e2backed No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes18c276$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6464812%78 W · 570 L-61.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-53.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92c7…c136backed Yes18c233.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-75.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x391e…d930backed No79c216.04$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.371040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…b534backed No76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491519.9%15 W · 136 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7458…fecfbacked No78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443855.3%21 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13dd…c5a3backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…c11dbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30b9…8250backed Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…ac1abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…beb6backed Yes8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88f0…c4ecbacked Yes11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca4a…a055backed No75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44da…2961backed Yes8c130$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d1…4aa7backed No74c111$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.864100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+239.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadaf…e601backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No79c100.1$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0211533%38 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe83…4f45backed Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9cb…3d77backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15af…ad0bbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…d2eabacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ca…6038backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x767b…895abacked No73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes22c76.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8430531.1%95 W · 210 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8505…68cabacked No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee1…52e1backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+133.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbabd…3335backed No78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921236.8%78 W · 134 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.