Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6922b872dbad8696b85cb89cbe37ffbc2b9f98923127f02e882fbb126c057185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $481,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 3c | 60,029$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.59 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…8d92backed Yes | 2c | 49,904$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 3c | 28,020$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.89 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 2c | 25,179$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.04 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…59a0backed Yes | 3c | 19,884$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.78 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 16,903$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 1c | 13,910$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.84 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 1c | 8,278$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 7,626$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 0c | 7,484$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 3c | 6,601$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.89 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 1c | 5,487$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 40 | 5%2 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,537$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 151 | 9.9%15 W · 136 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…fa01backed Yes | 0c | 4,409$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…2595backed Yes | 1c | 4,187$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 4c | 3,378$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,198$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 1,771$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…30c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,475$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 1c | 1,474$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…716abacked Yes | 1c | 1,470$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…1a83backed Yes | 2c | 1,262$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a5…3744backed Yes | 1c | 999.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $80 in June?this page
- Will Solana dip to $100 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $120 in June?No won
- Will Solana dip to $140 in June?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $160 in June?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $180 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $200 in June?No won
- Will Solana reach $220 in June?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.