Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sonego vs. Humbert
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52358741de0f0afeae32f0b084afaf824a04381b700c589e2991f046e0936746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Sonego, Humbert
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc398…f446backed Sonego | 41c | 1,908$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.12 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Sonego | 42c | 1,167$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Humbert | 63c | 1,132$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.35 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e3…262bbacked Humbert | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Humbert | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Humbert | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…7cddbacked Sonego | 42c | 673.29$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa5…492fbacked Sonego | 43c | 655$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Humbert | 62c | 505.28$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.23 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Sonego | 38c | 473.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.85 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Sonego | 29c | 455.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Humbert | 61c | 399.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Humbert | 58c | 336.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sonego | 36c | 333.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Sonego | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x647a…7c59backed Sonego | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Humbert | 62c | 264.37$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Sonego | 38c | 193.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 122 | 31.1%38 W · 84 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Humbert | 62c | 184.97$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Sonego | 41c | 175.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Sonego | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Sonego | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Sonego | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Sonego | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Sonego | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Humbert | 64c | 78.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Sonego | 40c | 56.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ba…1f30backed Sonego | 41c | 43.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…b398backed Sonego | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Sonego | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…95abbacked Sonego | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Sonego | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.