Champions League · resolved market
Boca Juniors vs. Benfica: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x134060ffbcf4f4d2cab162a14d8575ecf4079d47a4abc6208f7ce1a1734b30c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 36c | 741.37$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…3b9ebacked No | 53c | 351.19$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 51c | 311.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 46c | 245.62$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 49c | 151.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…f22cbacked Yes | 49c | 87.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked No | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…a504backed No | 52c | 72.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 49c | 55.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a901backed Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…c3c9backed Yes | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 47c | 22.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6f…9de1backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed No | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.