Champions League · resolved market
Esperance Sportive vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed06fcbdebc205ea774df5ad30241ff1539822d9fe27ae3c53398520b3cf76c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 45c | 4,278$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.99 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 55c | 1,515$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.09 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 56c | 1,410$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.22 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…cf5ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c09…fe6cbacked No | 44c | 995$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 52c | 952.1$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.01 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 55c | 919.92$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.93 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 44c | 607.8$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.43 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 51c | 594.81$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.3 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Yes | 58c | 342.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 43c | 311.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…fda0backed Yes | 55c | 97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 53c | 48.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…8685backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.