MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbc8fea25fab0784ecfeff11a0080a169081ae8c2ed79da6e866cafde3c71025
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Mariners, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 46c | 91,647$42,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,538.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Twins | 53c | 89,981$47,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,390.68 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Twins | 56c | 66,073$37,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,762.95 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 47c | 31,743$14,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,919.01 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983b…cac5backed Mariners | 46c | 26,017$11,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,965 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Mariners | 48c | 13,391$6,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.74 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 55c | 11,455$6,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.93 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Twins | 54c | 8,821$4,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.96 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Twins | 54c | 7,426$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.93 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 52c | 5,404$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 47c | 4,744$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.15 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 46c | 4,361$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.79 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Mariners | 23c | 4,235$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 54c | 4,219$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Mariners | 40c | 3,807$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.86 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Twins | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 27c | 3,240$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.96 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Mariners | 13c | 2,623$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mariners | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Mariners | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Twins | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 50c | 1,988$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.57 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 41c | 1,555$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.26 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 52c | 1,407$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.24 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Twins | 53c | 1,251$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.98 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Twins | 52c | 1,055$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.16 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Mariners | 46c | 1,018$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.41 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 46c | 899.97$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed Twins | 54c | 848$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.02 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mariners | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa139…aa45backed Mariners | 3c | 697.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…8bc3backed Mariners | 12c | 621.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Twins | 54c | 577.78$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.78 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785a…bdb6backed Mariners | 12c | 562.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Twins | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Mariners | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 47c | 507$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.35 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Mariners | 44c | 452.27$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Mariners | 47c | 426.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 56c | 426$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.17 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Mariners | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Twins | 53c | 377.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 46c | 371.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Twins | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mariners | 46c | 367.82$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 45c | 366.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners | 10c | 338$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Twins | 60c | 334.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Twins | 56c | 299.81$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Mariners | 56c | 225.94$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Twins | 53c | 212.77$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mariners | 45c | 204.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mariners | 46c | 200.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners | 46c | 200.18$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Twins | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Twins | 53c | 198.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Twins | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Twins | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Twins | 53c | 175.87$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mariners | 46c | 174$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins | 64c | 139.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mariners | 48c | 120.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Twins | 52c | 110.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Mariners | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 59c | 108.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Twins | 51c | 108.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Twins | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 47c | 98.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Twins | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Mariners | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Twins | 57c | 77.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked Mariners | 48c | 62.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Twins | 74c | 54.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 55c | 51.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mariners | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…9495backed Mariners | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Mariners | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Mariners | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Twins | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Twins | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Twins | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8901…2abbbacked Twins | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Twins | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Mariners | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Mariners | 44c | 22.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1fa0backed Twins | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Twins | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.