Tennis · resolved market
HSBC Championships: Lehecka vs. Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x451dab94933d79ff473a601abb1905fac405a9e5f446ddf55f25658edc78ffe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Lehecka, Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Diallo | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…22b3backed Lehecka | 62c | 1,000$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lehecka | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lehecka | 62c | 866.91$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.43 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Diallo | 40c | 727.9$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.56 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…0562backed Diallo | 38c | 655$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7423backed Diallo | 7c | 655$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Diallo | 38c | 541.39$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.28 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…aac8backed Diallo | 20c | 489.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lehecka | 60c | 467.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.16 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Lehecka | 66c | 455.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x546c…9b5cbacked Diallo | 38c | 340$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Lehecka | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lehecka | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lehecka | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diallo | 37c | 151.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diallo | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lehecka | 60c | 113$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lehecka | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Lehecka | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Diallo | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Diallo | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Lehecka | 62c | 46.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…436bbacked Diallo | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Lehecka | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…f7edbacked Lehecka | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.