WNBA · resolved market
Mystics vs Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb829c93e5b50678f5167488f231ca48f67cf3c89e12c70500168d9c21ce7eb5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Mystics, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mystics | 26c | 7,904$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.65 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dream | 74c | 4,771$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.81 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dream | 72c | 4,406$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.74 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mystics | 24c | 2,849$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.14 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mystics | 24c | 2,267$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.17 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dream | 76c | 2,105$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.26 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dream | 76c | 1,276$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.24 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mystics | 22c | 1,109$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.73 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dream | 76c | 822.36$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dream | 78c | 682$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mystics | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mystics | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mystics | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Dream | 74c | 247$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Dream | 76c | 217$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mystics | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mystics | 26c | 168.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Mystics | 29c | 139.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mystics | 22c | 86.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dream | 74c | 61.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mystics | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0516…dbc2backed Mystics | 37c | 30.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Dream | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.