WNBA · resolved market
Sparks vs Lynx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13332503232e05f95fb96b429d7d022d7a889e87ac0b2ebe50c9e00e0e5b6a4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynxof Sparks, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sparks | 24c | 4,760$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.46 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Sparks | 26c | 3,454$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.71 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sparks | 19c | 3,100$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Lynx | 72c | 2,931$2,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.8 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Lynx | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Sparks | 18c | 2,357$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.26 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lynx | 79c | 2,033$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.92 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Sparks | 26c | 1,400$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sparks | 15c | 1,170$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Lynx | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lynx | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lynx | 68c | 849.05$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lynx | 78c | 761$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Lynx | 66c | 669$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.46 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lynx | 66c | 548.78$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sparks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…62b8backed Lynx | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Sparks | 22c | 444.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Lynx | 73c | 403$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lynx | 80c | 375.9$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Lynx | 67c | 154.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sparks | 18c | 141.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Lynx | 78c | 113$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Sparks | 25c | 103.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Lynx | 78c | 102.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Sparks | 23c | 100.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sparks | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d7…7ad5backed Lynx | 78c | 59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Lynx | 70c | 42.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynx | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Sparks | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Lynx | 78c | 23.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Lynx | 72c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.