MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85bf53f837df94579ca421f64e3f76adf7a9179dd7ba19be8b83596dd1bc2e4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 27c | 6,656$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Cardinals | 51c | 6,412$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Cubs | 57c | 6,229$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.65 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 55c | 5,138$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 24c | 4,785$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.3 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 54c | 4,743$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.84 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Cardinals | 30c | 4,659$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.88 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cardinals | 45c | 4,430$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Cubs | 57c | 3,524$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.8 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.84 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Cubs | 55c | 2,736$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cubs | 55c | 2,622$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 2,438$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.8 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 44c | 2,150$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,675$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.77 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cubs | 56c | 1,603$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.29 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 34c | 1,180$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.13 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 6c | 1,055$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Cubs | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 43c | 799.57$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.53 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 61c | 722.3$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Cubs | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 45c | 657.01$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Cubs | 56c | 654$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.76 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cardinals | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 599.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cubs | 52c | 599.54$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.72 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 42c | 586.82$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Cardinals | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Cubs | 57c | 523.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Cubs | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Cardinals | 8c | 483.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5b…e79dbacked Cubs | 72c | 450$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Cardinals | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Cardinals | 37c | 419.7$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.89 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…0941backed Cubs | 71c | 374.14$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 317.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Cardinals | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Cardinals | 45c | 284.43$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 5c | 272$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 44c | 240$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 36c | 239$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 67c | 216.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 61c | 197$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Cubs | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Cardinals | 30c | 156.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5c…c46abacked Cubs | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510a…cd0ebacked Cardinals | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Cubs | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c6…67ddbacked Cubs | 56c | 130.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2710backed Cardinals | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…93fdbacked Cubs | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Cubs | 77c | 129.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 44c | 125.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…cec9backed Cubs | 56c | 121$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f7c1backed Cubs | 64c | 115$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Cubs | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Cubs | 78c | 109.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0559…de0bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 109$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Cardinals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Cubs | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Cubs | 57c | 99.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cubs | 55c | 98.18$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Cardinals | 31c | 98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 56c | 95.05$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Cubs | 57c | 94.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cubs | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…adbfbacked Cardinals | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbae…2d84backed Cubs | 56c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…1e9fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Cubs | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963c…e386backed Cubs | 56c | 67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Cubs | 55c | 63.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Cubs | 58c | 62.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Cardinals | 19c | 59.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…bcafbacked Cubs | 67c | 53.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Cardinals | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Cardinals | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd5…c914backed Cardinals | 25c | 43.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Cubs | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Cubs | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd049…1a06backed Cubs | 76c | 26.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…0066backed Cubs | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…9de7backed Cubs | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…c3cbbacked Cubs | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Cardinals | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Cubs | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.