MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x415ea5d87a36b0601557a636ec83e6909d39e727fa921af80b7d2780065f6723
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde7…d224backed Marlins | 37c | 51,327$18,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,331.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…92f4backed Padres | 63c | 51,205$32,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,259.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Padres | 63c | 8,339$5,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,289.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 37c | 7,635$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798.47 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Padres | 0c | 5,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Marlins | 37c | 4,137$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.76 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Padres | 67c | 2,935$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.37 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 43c | 2,325$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Padres | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Marlins | 41c | 1,985$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…2170backed Marlins | 40c | 1,950$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…4fcdbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,863$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 26c | 1,794$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.21 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Padres | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 61c | 1,608$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.99 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 32c | 1,536$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.17 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Padres | 72c | 1,225$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.12 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 60c | 1,142$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.82 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…3d17backed Padres | 60c | 1,117$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 4c | 1,103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Marlins | 35c | 1,097$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 44c | 1,041$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5698…53aebacked Padres | 60c | 943$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…bc5dbacked Padres | 60c | 919$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed3…f05fbacked Padres | 60c | 900$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…64dabacked Padres | 60c | 833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…73dcbacked Marlins | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 34c | 782.91$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 40c | 752.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.5 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…de50backed Marlins | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Marlins | 28c | 672.47$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.47 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 38c | 666.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.45 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 49c | 664.13$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 36c | 658.26$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.22 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…a014backed Padres | 60c | 650$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 59c | 626.46$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.02 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Padres | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Marlins | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 61c | 574.19$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 50c | 536.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 11c | 529.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Marlins | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 52c | 489.66$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.09 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Padres | 23c | 486.72$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 38c | 480.15$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…1a05backed Marlins | 40c | 453.7$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5126…cf14backed Marlins | 42c | 442.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Padres | 64c | 426.41$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd954…cbebbacked Marlins | 40c | 408.1$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…eabcbacked Marlins | 42c | 389.64$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Marlins | 3c | 384$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.48 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 53c | 380.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 4c | 366$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.13 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe30…2950backed Marlins | 43c | 365.6$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Padres | 60c | 355.11$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.91 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…eb2ebacked Padres | 58c | 348.1$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Marlins | 41c | 333.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.66 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Marlins | 34c | 330$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…9298backed Padres | 61c | 324.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…d4cbbacked Padres | 60c | 307.4$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Padres | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…6f02backed Marlins | 43c | 294.26$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Padres | 45c | 286$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…3f06backed Padres | 60c | 283.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…3526backed Padres | 58c | 282.21$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Marlins | 11c | 281.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc1…d442backed Padres | 60c | 275.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Padres | 6c | 274.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 63c | 270$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 41c | 260.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.98 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338a…259fbacked Padres | 61c | 259.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Padres | 76c | 253$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…bcb4backed Padres | 60c | 237.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f3…e75bbacked Marlins | 46c | 211.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Padres | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…3dbbbacked Padres | 60c | 175.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Padres | 66c | 171.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed Padres | 65c | 164.8$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 64c | 157.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Marlins | 36c | 145.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Padres | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Padres | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…d686backed Marlins | 40c | 130.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Marlins | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4511…3efebacked Padres | 59c | 122$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…5005backed Marlins | 41c | 115$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Marlins | 20c | 114.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Padres | 18c | 104.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Marlins | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Padres | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Padres | 67c | 98.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Padres | 72c | 90$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.