Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f572e07a10c8174e56bf09064a034ee5a441f3fba3750a9deb40c01c9a636a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 1,529$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.77 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,412$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.04 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 16c | 997.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 14c | 927$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 76c | 629.29$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.11 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 36c | 600$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 61c | 599.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.99 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 39c | 547.36$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.36 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…644cbacked No | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…2da4backed No | 57c | 527.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 43c | 434.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 22c | 416$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 37c | 338$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed No | 53c | 310$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed Yes | 16c | 280.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…d59fbacked No | 60c | 278.33$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Yes | 35c | 269$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…411bbacked No | 60c | 167.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…3cb2backed No | 63c | 154.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ca…9427backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 104.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0186…defdbacked No | 39c | 102.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…b21ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…661bbacked No | 65c | 93.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…3049backed Yes | 20c | 92.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Yes | 18c | 90.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 46c | 80.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 67c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 78c | 24.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-23?this page
- Will Villa vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Villa win on 2024-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.