College Football · resolved market
CFB: South Carolina vs. Vanderbilt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3b0591c94562b3731de31f6b8a892ff2a907e0ae097f88b533717db6479a7e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocksof Cocks, Vanderbilt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Vanderbilt | 9c | 6,001$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.08 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cocks | 65c | 498.55$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.49 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cocks | 63c | 445.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Vanderbilt | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Vanderbilt | 36c | 274.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Vanderbilt | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Vanderbilt | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Cocks | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Cocks | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Cocks | 64c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…8fbdbacked Vanderbilt | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Vanderbilt | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cocks | 65c | 23.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Cocks | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…6944backed Cocks | 69c | 16.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.