College Football · resolved market
CFB: Army vs. North Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b03f30a740189ca92c06b6e99dc7b89855f147993a30d2c2ab36cc5b0813075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Armyof Army, UNT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1608…a990backed UNT | 41c | 2,799$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.1 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Army | 73c | 1,376$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.23 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Army | 66c | 1,326$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.5 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed UNT | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Army | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Army | 65c | 746.58$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.39 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked UNT | 41c | 499.97$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Army | 62c | 395.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Army | 76c | 345.1$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed UNT | 29c | 249.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07e…22c0backed Army | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e727backed UNT | 34c | 139.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ed…5d39backed Army | 59c | 114.41$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8db…56bcbacked UNT | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759b…318fbacked Army | 59c | 110.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Army | 59c | 73.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Army | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed UNT | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1d…3ee3backed UNT | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…37ebbacked Army | 78c | 39.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked UNT | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed UNT | 38c | 38.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Army | 66c | 37.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Army | 69c | 30.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Army | 70c | 29.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Army | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fc…9cbdbacked Army | 59c | 26.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Army | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…da6dbacked Army | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…3c96backed Army | 70c | 18.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.