Premier League · resolved market
Will Fulham win on 2024-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c240af653dd31badb0e0f41df310bab4ef67424892a33ed51c93846598f3fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 63c | 1,892$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.19 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 39c | 1,550$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 23c | 1,117$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.96 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…2cf2backed Yes | 69c | 907.83$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 42c | 453.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.15 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 31c | 437.26$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.71 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 40c | 411.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.55 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 60c | 332.4$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes | 63c | 241.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 238.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.59 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…32d0backed Yes | 60c | 224.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…6a86backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 64c | 157$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 150$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 17c | 147$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 60c | 131.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…2cb9backed Yes | 59c | 126.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 48c | 119$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…21cbbacked No | 42c | 115$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…52a8backed Yes | 58c | 115$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 42c | 110.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…2f14backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…f5d0backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…d9d5backed No | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…27b4backed No | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d35…33eebacked Yes | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e5…7077backed No | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…e34fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…2471backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 49c | 88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8784…f1aebacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 42c | 86.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee3…20ddbacked Yes | 65c | 86.15$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…0aebbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 36c | 71.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…3b32backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0123…9004backed No | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…7db4backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…1fddbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…3940backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…970abacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 37c | 47.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed Yes | 64c | 47.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399b…3e00backed Yes | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…4b62backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5f…0edcbacked Yes | 60c | 36.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6ddbbacked Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…4888backed No | 40c | 30.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…05d8backed Yes | 58c | 28.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…5875backed Yes | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…fafbbacked No | 38c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd515…ac42backed Yes | 58c | 27.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57df…d1dcbacked No | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…4a95backed Yes | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a18…b639backed Yes | 60c | 25.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…4957backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fulham win on 2024-11-23?this page
- Will Fulham vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-11-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.