College Football · resolved market
CFB: Colorado vs. Texas Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf23a5d43569e2ebb9d42fa1440651f23eb19f427be5f8748d770bc535fa933cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coloradoof Colorado, TTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked TTU | 34c | 1,738$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.01 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Colorado | 66c | 1,661$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed TTU | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed TTU | 42c | 1,236$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.05 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colorado | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked TTU | 25c | 800$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked TTU | 5c | 697.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Colorado | 64c | 550$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked TTU | 34c | 491.74$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.19 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…6434backed Colorado | 67c | 461.16$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…1810backed TTU | 30c | 431.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Colorado | 59c | 409.52$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Colorado | 62c | 372.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Colorado | 45c | 349.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed TTU | 55c | 339.43$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.27 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x326f…eb9bbacked Colorado | 66c | 299.27$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Colorado | 65c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed TTU | 35c | 200.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa3…f82dbacked Colorado | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked TTU | 34c | 149.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Colorado | 42c | 149.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colorado | 63c | 135.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed TTU | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Colorado | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Colorado | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…5911backed Colorado | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed TTU | 35c | 54.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Colorado | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed TTU | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed TTU | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ba…ee42backed Colorado | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…5260backed Colorado | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…382bbacked TTU | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.