Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP beat LOSC Lille?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a5f397fc1926cd8c13410b926a1fec98886debb3ede42b3133320f3dc6e420e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 38c | 4,555$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.9 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 62c | 1,755$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.84 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 34c | 1,388$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.37 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 39c | 961.89$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.9 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed No | 43c | 313.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…a9c2backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 75c | 261.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…ae22backed Yes | 66c | 258.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 39c | 199.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 8c | 165$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 63c | 149.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 63c | 142.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…271ebacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Yes | 63c | 96.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…21abbacked No | 38c | 92.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5b78backed Yes | 66c | 83.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Yes | 66c | 74.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…9844backed No | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked No | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…592abacked No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…9a30backed Yes | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…165abacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…5bccbacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…0978backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9de…5692backed Yes | 63c | 37.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…cb9bbacked Yes | 63c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…79acbacked Yes | 60c | 31.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…656fbacked Yes | 60c | 30.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +1,800%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…88e7backed Yes | 79c | 27.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 60c | 20.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP beat LOSC Lille?this page
- Will LOSC Lille beat Sporting CP?No won
- Will Sporting CP vs. LOSC Lille end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.