Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Medvedev vs. Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a7606c68849e6459d0b34bb074c81563386d99d773c8c56ad92a13cb45897bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $420,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $720,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $420,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Borges | 2c | 80,268$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Borges | 11c | 5,862$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Borges | 10c | 3,577$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.35 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Borges | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Borges | 4c | 1,800$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Borges | 12c | 1,186$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Borges | 10c | 894.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…aa7ebacked Borges | 12c | 841.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Borges | 12c | 773.08$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Borges | 5c | 591.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Borges | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Borges | 11c | 360.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…0a56backed Borges | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Borges | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…53e3backed Borges | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Borges | 13c | 149.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Borges | 11c | 149.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed6…bcf7backed Borges | 10c | 118.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Borges | 14c | 102.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…05febacked Borges | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Borges | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Borges | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.