WNBA · resolved market
WNBA Finals: Liberty vs. Lynx Game 5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc76da775661df116d5d9f177d2386ba6d5474c77724e8d862155eb494562d9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Liberty, Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Liberty | 51c | 7,306$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Lynx | 49c | 6,706$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lynx | 44c | 3,687$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Lynx | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lynx | 29c | 1,218$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Liberty | 61c | 987$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Liberty | 50c | 878.82$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Liberty | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Liberty | 47c | 612$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liberty | 50c | 519$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lynx | 49c | 495.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.72 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Lynx | 57c | 404.07$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Lynx | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Liberty | 69c | 162.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Lynx | 31c | 161.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Liberty | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Liberty | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Lynx | 27c | 78.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Liberty | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…3d68backed Lynx | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…bf24backed Liberty | 61c | 34.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Liberty | 35c | 30.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c3…bd91backed Lynx | 59c | 22.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…3cb4backed Liberty | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.