CS2 · resolved market
Will Vitality win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05390ee6a6083e20141810438cc11e590774fa771475c28a000e598c8b843f8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 31c | 2,899$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.42 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 28c | 1,321$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.39 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…8e2fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,159$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed No | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 39c | 942$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 63c | 886.77$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.57 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…1857backed Yes | 37c | 740.67$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed No | 61c | 659.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +305.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1354backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Yes | 38c | 520.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 69c | 431$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 65c | 423.8$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…5c65backed Yes | 37c | 388.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Yes | 28c | 356.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…0569backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked Yes | 30c | 222$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 22c | 211$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…46d9backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f162backed Yes | 29c | 195.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 192.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Yes | 38c | 133.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -77%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Yes | 24c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…2bccbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ca…6306backed Yes | 39c | 98.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…f322backed No | 65c | 95.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 22c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 21c | 83.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 35c | 78.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…58cabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc9…c69cbacked No | 63c | 40.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +171.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…4ec1backed Yes | 30c | 40.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…15b7backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed No | 69c | 25.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitality win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?this page
- Will Astralis win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Faze win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?Yes won
- Will Liquid win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Spirit win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Team Falcons win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.