CS2 · resolved market
Will Spirit win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5f3a1880801b6881e9e8cb7dc14470234c0914c3c2092f1789abf480abec2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 4c | 18,495$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe672…9459backed Yes | 0c | 12,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…2723backed Yes | 0c | 11,888$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 7c | 3,128$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3cd9backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f162backed Yes | 5c | 929$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 7c | 493.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 11c | 411$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Yes | 8c | 303.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 14c | 132$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Yes | 18c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed Yes | 8c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spirit win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?this page
- Will Astralis win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Faze win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?Yes won
- Will Liquid win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Team Falcons win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Vitality win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.