CS2 · resolved market
Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd688862aa61b32e4a673bbd8ae701f40f9953896eee8d1ca35bb9f719940de22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 12c | 3,665$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.94 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 8c | 2,862$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 72c | 1,729$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed Yes | 12c | 1,542$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +305.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,530$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.87 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 40c | 1,117$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 16c | 1,114$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.73 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…a5bfbacked Yes | 69c | 951.26$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 12c | 859.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 80c | 831.05$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 697.53$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.37 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4e…c452backed Yes | 19c | 609.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 72c | 533.54$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…24d0backed Yes | 40c | 532.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…7898backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.04 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 58c | 488.08$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.47 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 432.85$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e4…9d25backed Yes | 69c | 305$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 281.64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…f162backed Yes | 13c | 266.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2182…c6d8backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 60c | 220$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed Yes | 72c | 207.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed Yes | 55c | 195.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…712cbacked Yes | 17c | 171.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…c763backed Yes | 40c | 137.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +144.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Yes | 38c | 130.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a1…5d25backed Yes | 15c | 120$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 36c | 107.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 58c | 104.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…762dbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…8dd0backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…be57backed Yes | 35c | 98.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 36c | 97.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2e…745cbacked Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Yes | 40c | 87.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 43c | 87.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…8000backed No | 51c | 81.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…3ba3backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dac…8e45backed Yes | 39c | 68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd6…4ec1backed Yes | 21c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…2bccbacked No | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 34c | 50.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 70c | 35.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will G2 win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?this page
- Will Astralis win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Faze win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Liquid win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Natus Vincere win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Spirit win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Team Falcons win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
- Will Vitality win CS:GO BLAST Premier Fall Final 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.