Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford beat Wolverhampton?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf9ad30695e7152cf5f732eb31eb8bee80c55c0b0a8b4108de6db55dd3df4abd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 45c | 5,874$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.2 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0069…9d53backed Yes | 48c | 4,168$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,167.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.53 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed No | 33c | 1,489$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.53 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 52c | 955.66$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.12 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 54c | 696.62$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.17 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 80c | 499.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 47c | 424.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 53c | 330$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd19…720bbacked No | 54c | 113.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc238…7945backed Yes | 47c | 106.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…bb50backed Yes | 47c | 101.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…6490backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a43…8691backed Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d64…f082backed No | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed No | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 46c | 72.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked No | 53c | 61.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…f4c5backed Yes | 47c | 35.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…19f0backed Yes | 47c | 34.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…a12ebacked Yes | 48c | 31.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford beat Wolverhampton?this page
- Will Wolverhampton beat Brentford?No won
- Will the match between Brentford and Wolverhampton end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.