TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Rangers, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44b9…0598backed Rangers58c4,088$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3744146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Rangers50c2,006$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.8531849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Canadiens41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18035545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Rangers49c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Canadiens40c1,862$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.931334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens39c1,267$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.63,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens48c1,233$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.0685464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba97…3fb4backed Canadiens49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec5…3721backed Rangers51c1,175$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a1…5801backed Canadiens48c1,012$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.12245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Rangers50c999.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9825340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Rangers51c881.37$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.54438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Canadiens49c813.68$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.686953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens50c718.88$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.670249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens34c662.34$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.3292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefc3…d062backed Canadiens56c575.77$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.841060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+90.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e1…1afcbacked Rangers56c566.14$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Canadiens50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens47c494.17$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.251,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rangers52c451.02$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers70c415.62$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.7891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Rangers49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19672448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…44c6backed Canadiens50c360.8$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+88.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Canadiens53c355.47$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.4712955.8%72 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canadiens50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.151,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Canadiens45c300$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.171,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Rangers67c299.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013461.8%21 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ed…73b3backed Rangers52c299.04$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5222…10b2backed Canadiens49c292.7$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7034…8d31backed Rangers52c290$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.02714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick59cpaid-70.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba8e…859ebacked Canadiens49c289.92$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.86540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f86…9f1dbacked Canadiens49c288.77$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Canadiens49c263.67$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5094…3dadbacked Canadiens49c263.08$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f74…8760backed Rangers74c257.09$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbfb…21f6backed Canadiens50c255.26$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5494…59debacked Rangers52c253.63$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cae…cee2backed Rangers52c251.52$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8420…8bb6backed Canadiens49c237.95$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.361346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0387…011abacked Rangers54c232.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe6…5cf6backed Rangers53c232.23$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.791540%6 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bbc…a70dbacked Rangers51c220.44$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed09…de44backed Rangers51c220$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Rangers67c210.65$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.433781.1%30 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe8ff…150dbacked Canadiens49c210$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Canadiens31c206.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.55322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Rangers50c205.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1032948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7310…ddfdbacked Canadiens49c204.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Rangers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd6e…f1d6backed Rangers51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Canadiens20c198.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.614245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x577b…8b76backed Canadiens51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers67c147.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.271,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Canadiens47c143.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1713756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Rangers54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa4da…428ebacked Rangers52c118.04$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50d7…79a1backed Rangers52c116.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.631070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Rangers67c113.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0517054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe851…d33bbacked Canadiens50c112.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…3b09backed Rangers52c110.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3180%0 W · 8 L-4.2wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9489…0c10backed Canadiens50c109.82$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.091560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Canadiens49c109.06$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.622055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…b659backed Rangers52c109$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.681250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed Canadiens49c107$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.572040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f8c…02fcbacked Rangers51c103.85$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.332060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Rangers51c103.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.391650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x518a…576bbacked Rangers51c103.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.851850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…6bf9backed Rangers52c101.52$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Canadiens50c100.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9515549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4002…7251backed Rangers52c100.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc0c…e263backed Canadiens50c100.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.152166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8c…668fbacked Rangers52c100.23$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…d9e2backed Rangers70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a2a…9146backed Canadiens48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Rangers61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccce…2c7cbacked Canadiens46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…7a92backed Canadiens30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Rangers52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9950049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Canadiens48c99.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.039251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5af0…c929backed Canadiens50c99.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2202…b157backed Rangers52c99.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x537d…bde1backed Canadiens50c99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.821580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+48.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fb1…8e32backed Rangers52c98.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rangers51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4f…e43bbacked Rangers77c97.21$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.224852.1%25 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-21.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0b1c…18e9backed Rangers52c97.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ffc…c79dbacked Canadiens50c96.96$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Rangers52c96.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf789…7702backed Canadiens49c95.57$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.741866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5fc…a8babacked Canadiens50c95.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…391dbacked Canadiens50c94.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.47633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e6…d23cbacked Rangers51c94.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e85…155ebacked Rangers52c93.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-74.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd225…5c13backed Canadiens49c93.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9358…3063backed Rangers52c92.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981a…112bbacked Canadiens50c92.06$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7737…22d7backed Canadiens50c91.72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.861070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06d4…0645backed Canadiens50c90.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.06560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65bb…250fbacked Rangers52c87.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.