Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth beat Leicester City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x076dc1dc254b68b6671f61f61bbb651041d070241dda58081e98c86a6ef55808
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,294$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.29 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d7…b367backed No | 55c | 1,685$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbe…7636backed Yes | 47c | 1,685$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 56c | 1,509$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.43 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 48c | 1,318$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.88 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,202$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.71 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 54c | 900.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.16 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 13c | 557.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 54c | 444$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b5…5a79backed No | 57c | 352.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…0190backed Yes | 46c | 330.43$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f87…5fa5backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 53c | 234.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 48c | 195.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b3…3af6backed No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 56c | 138.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 52c | 128.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc38f…8ebfbacked No | 57c | 80.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c492backed No | 53c | 75.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x179f…c974backed Yes | 47c | 66.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25aa…e501backed No | 57c | 59.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…a69bbacked No | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Yes | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecf1…f22bbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fc…129cbacked Yes | 46c | 38.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…e256backed No | 58c | 27.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth beat Leicester City?this page
- Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?Yes won
- Will the match between Leicester City and Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.