Premier League · resolved market
Will the match between Leicester City and Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3663db58d07bd2c266364a610254901ea7244f501dedb75c45ead937abf21d52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 72c | 1,879$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.07 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…22f7backed Yes | 28c | 582.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 25c | 444$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…3cf3backed No | 75c | 402.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fb…1cd5backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0335…ce8cbacked No | 75c | 319.07$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…16b6backed No | 75c | 267.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…fec5backed Yes | 28c | 208.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…517abacked No | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…422abacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Yes | 28c | 92.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…96a1backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1823…b0fcbacked Yes | 28c | 89.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…3431backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…1770backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…940ebacked No | 74c | 46.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed No | 64c | 27.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…adf2backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d64…f082backed No | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 72c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between Leicester City and Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth beat Leicester City?No won
- Will Leicester City beat Bournemouth?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.