College Football · resolved market
Will Georgia beat Tennessee by 10 or more points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b71195ffdbcd9299b3c22a4dbf61ac475d970dc5546bd463dc5f6cd88d1315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 45c | 5,799$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.04 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92d4backed No | 55c | 4,479$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed No | 54c | 2,234$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…a986backed Yes | 48c | 2,192$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked No | 54c | 1,224$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 1,000$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.26 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 48c | 799.99$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Yes | 46c | 593.9$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.71 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +324.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…e8aabacked Yes | 50c | 494$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed No | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 52c | 371.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…1cf3backed Yes | 50c | 340$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 67c | 309.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed No | 50c | 243.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked No | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked No | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed No | 52c | 120.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…fab3backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed No | 24c | 89.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…c235backed Yes | 76c | 89.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20e…5998backed Yes | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e1…7384backed Yes | 52c | 54.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed No | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ab…8b3cbacked Yes | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…cf63backed Yes | 49c | 20.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia beat Tennessee by 10 or more points?this page
- Will Georgia and Tennessee combine for 48 or more points?Over won
- Will Georgia beat Tennessee?Georgia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.