Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20a4cd481f7938a7f16879ae3ae59c7c7e1f46271cae841d4f44d3fce2ced22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 49c | 60,000$29,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,450 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 58c | 32,321$18,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,734.07 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yes | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 47c | 3,145$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.55 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 2,611$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 2,062$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.81 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 1,812$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0f…ed5fbacked No | 53c | 1,786$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…9732backed Yes | 46c | 1,783$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…7a79backed Yes | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…1e29backed No | 59c | 1,000$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 20c | 954.39$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.19 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked Yes | 47c | 304.85$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 33c | 249.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 245$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked Yes | 48c | 161.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 65c | 153.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 35c | 118.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 54c | 101$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…d66cbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…3f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1a…480cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 67c | 23.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.