NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbe658c8255e05fc9fdd1ae1889a01a48b511b4f5ffd291858a1ecd8b514afea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Chiefs | 80c | 13,092$10,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.42 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raiders | 20c | 12,676$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.9 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…e595backed Raiders | 20c | 11,354$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raiders | 19c | 9,376$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.9 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Raiders | 19c | 8,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.96 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Raiders | 19c | 5,901$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.2 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Raiders | 16c | 5,878$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.69 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Raiders | 14c | 5,680$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…7e92backed Raiders | 1c | 5,616$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Raiders | 18c | 5,273$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.61 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Raiders | 8c | 5,246$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.88 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Raiders | 19c | 5,013$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.45 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Chiefs | 73c | 3,426$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.5 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Raiders | 25c | 2,913$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.97 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Raiders | 10c | 2,829$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Raiders | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Chiefs | 70c | 2,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Chiefs | 77c | 2,302$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.6 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b94…ce9dbacked Raiders | 14c | 2,243$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chiefs | 79c | 2,119$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.13 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Raiders | 20c | 2,041$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.2 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Chiefs | 78c | 1,900$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0616…0f99backed Raiders | 6c | 1,633$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Chiefs | 79c | 1,495$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…4bbebacked Chiefs | 80c | 1,485$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.98 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Raiders | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Chiefs | 80c | 1,344$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raiders | 29c | 1,288$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Raiders | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Chiefs | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Raiders | 11c | 868$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Chiefs | 73c | 821.92$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.92 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Chiefs | 80c | 779.31$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Chiefs | 76c | 675.09$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raiders | 18c | 621.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Raiders | 18c | 554.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…0a72backed Raiders | 19c | 526.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed Raiders | 21c | 523.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Raiders | 20c | 512.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Raiders | 19c | 499.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chiefs | 80c | 499.52$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Raiders | 27c | 413.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…8183backed Chiefs | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…275ebacked Raiders | 20c | 389.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Raiders | 11c | 357.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Raiders | 24c | 337.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.69 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…e82dbacked Raiders | 30c | 327.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…e88abacked Raiders | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Chiefs | 80c | 210.13$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Chiefs | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Raiders | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Chiefs | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7819…eccebacked Raiders | 28c | 181$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…c6d3backed Chiefs | 74c | 180.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Chiefs | 80c | 179.74$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…e452backed Raiders | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e58…be81backed Raiders | 17c | 175.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf440…2747backed Raiders | 17c | 166.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Chiefs | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Raiders | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…c107backed Chiefs | 80c | 136.63$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Chiefs | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Raiders | 13c | 129.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Chiefs | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Raiders | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Raiders | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 39cpaid | -84%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Chiefs | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Chiefs | 79c | 119.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Raiders | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa90…2be3backed Chiefs | 80c | 102.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Raiders | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Raiders | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…68f9backed Raiders | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…3368backed Raiders | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Raiders | 13c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Raiders | 20c | 98.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Chiefs | 78c | 88.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…38a7backed Chiefs | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…2e62backed Raiders | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Raiders | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dc…0b20backed Raiders | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Chiefs | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ee…7870backed Raiders | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…1712backed Raiders | 21c | 55.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…3f9fbacked Chiefs | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Raiders | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93d5…87b5backed Raiders | 20c | 51.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…c3dcbacked Raiders | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0d…8eb5backed Chiefs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Chiefs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Raiders | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…895ebacked Chiefs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…7de0backed Chiefs | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…bbd7backed Chiefs | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…c67cbacked Chiefs | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Chiefs | 80c | 32.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Chiefs | 80c | 30.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Chiefs | 75c | 27.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Chiefs | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47db…9b16backed Chiefs | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.