TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8352…f2cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 51 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.02
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$14.18
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$9.83
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$8.8
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$12.11
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$9.93
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$9.91
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$25.38
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Military action against Iran ends by April 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$51.76
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$156.41
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-43.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+84%+$17.35
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$10.02
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
All 6 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.75
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.