South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd280e43ae3e96be4cb6dc19d7f51bffa611c341086f365a230e55fa3859602c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 905.03$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.19 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 37c | 903.1$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.14 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 41c | 102$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 69.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 60c | 67.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Yes | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked No | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked No | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked No | 61c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked No | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.