Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lindenwood Lions vs. SIUE Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e20c7111f3785b21da5ff0bfe0e625f5aa7e722928a3870f1b18d0100dca45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SIUE Cougarsof Lindenwood Lions, SIUE Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed SIUE Cougars | 53c | 3,344$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 2,925$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 2,213$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.64 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lindenwood Lions | 23c | 1,133$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.07 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 1,087$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.5 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 666.56$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked SIUE Cougars | 48c | 666.56$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.61 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Lindenwood Lions | 2c | 658.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 9c | 657.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lindenwood Lions | 9c | 640$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lindenwood Lions | 38c | 630.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.86 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Lindenwood Lions | 12c | 619.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Lindenwood Lions | 47c | 604.13$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…5a2dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 28c | 358.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 271$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lindenwood Lions | 19c | 256.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lindenwood Lions | 49c | 223.63$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 182.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed SIUE Cougars | 49c | 156.43$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Lindenwood Lions | 23c | 148$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…87d8backed Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 115$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed SIUE Cougars | 28c | 73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…0d51backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lindenwood Lions | 44c | 70.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…5580backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed SIUE Cougars | 78c | 64.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked SIUE Cougars | 36c | 61.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…e89bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 54.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Lindenwood Lions | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lindenwood Lions | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked SIUE Cougars | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lindenwood Lions | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Lindenwood Lions | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked SIUE Cougars | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lindenwood Lions | 50c | 23.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed SIUE Cougars | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lindenwood Lions vs. SIUE Cougarsthis page
- Spread: Lindenwood Lions (-1.5)SIUE Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.