Lol · resolved market
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4eb08637841cf5622783236e0f74cdde178d1aa6b9b08baba08a5d0d62602b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bulldog Esportsof Arctic Pandas, Bulldog Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 1,527$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.33 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bulldog Esports | 41c | 1,133$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.62 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Arctic Pandas | 2c | 930$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Arctic Pandas | 66c | 764$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.24 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Bulldog Esports | 61c | 490.3$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.02 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Bulldog Esports | 40c | 460.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.88 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Bulldog Esports | 42c | 431.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Bulldog Esports | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Bulldog Esports | 40c | 338.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.6 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Arctic Pandas | 52c | 234.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.21 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Bulldog Esports | 34c | 205$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Arctic Pandas | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Arctic Pandas | 58c | 199.93$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bulldog Esports | 39c | 182$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Bulldog Esports | 37c | 168.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Bulldog Esports | 38c | 168$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 162.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bulldog Esports | 72c | 155$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Arctic Pandas | 61c | 132$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 128$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Bulldog Esports | 38c | 124$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Bulldog Esports | 38c | 124$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Bulldog Esports | 38c | 110$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf91…3041backed Bulldog Esports | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 35cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Bulldog Esports | 33c | 103$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Arctic Pandas | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed Bulldog Esports | 40c | 98.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Bulldog Esports | 37c | 98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Arctic Pandas | 41c | 92.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Bulldog Esports | 38c | 84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Bulldog Esports | 38c | 81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Bulldog Esports | 67c | 74.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Bulldog Esports | 38c | 71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 70.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Arctic Pandas | 68c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 67.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arctic Pandas | 44c | 65.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Bulldog Esports | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bulldog Esports | 44c | 49.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bulldog Esports | 38c | 47.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949d…374cbacked Arctic Pandas | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bulldog Esports | 43c | 43.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 43.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…eae7backed Arctic Pandas | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Bulldog Esports | 37c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 38.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Bulldog Esports | 69c | 36.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Arctic Pandas | 61c | 31.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Arctic Pandas | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Arctic Pandas | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Arctic Pandas | 67c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6588…1c46backed Bulldog Esports | 59c | 22.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Arctic Pandas | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…20a1backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…f7f6backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 18.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Arctic Pandas | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.45per pick | 56cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Arctic Pandas | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Arctic Pandas | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Arctic Pandas | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.