Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x884776153589388564f301038785400140039f81d44ddf33846fad6a87deb287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creighton Bluejaysof Xavier Musketeers, Creighton Bluejays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 4,014$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 1,993$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.12 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 1,629$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.95 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 392.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.9 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 231.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 198$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 170$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 165$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 133.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 130.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…4130backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 101$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Creighton Bluejays | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Xavier Musketeers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Creighton Bluejays | 46c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Creighton Bluejays | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Creighton Bluejays | 43c | 33.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 33.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Creighton Bluejays | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed Xavier Musketeers | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Xavier Musketeers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Xavier Musketeers | 55c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-2.5)this page
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier MusketeersCreighton Bluejays won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 149.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 150.5Over won
- Creighton Bluejays vs. Xavier Musketeers: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Xavier Musketeers (-3.5)Creighton Bluejays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.