Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f4530e0aa3c0e9474c68e8885f6aecbd2643d1b33241bd0e3db03c162abdc63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 116,393$60,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,104.8 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 50,500$24,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,884.94 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 37,336$18,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,133.56 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 48c | 31,065$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,064.99 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 15,000$6,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 52c | 5,915$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.57 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 5,644$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.47 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 2,999$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.55 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,016$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.51 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,723$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.82 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 46c | 1,455$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.7 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,252$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.1 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Over | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 49c | 811.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.91 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 757.55$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.31 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 49c | 266.91$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.83 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 235.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 186$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 184.63$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 164$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 45c | 163$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf6…0ed7backed Over | 54c | 147.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 47c | 125.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 101.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 74.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Over | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Over | 54c | 40.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Under | 46c | 39.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 48c | 37.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Over | 54c | 36.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Under | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Under | 49c | 27.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 48c | 23.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked Over | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 146.5this page
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-3.5)Wichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green WaveWichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.