TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wichita State Shockersof Wichita State Shockers, Tulane Green Wave
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,879 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x403f…2b6bbacked Tulane Green Wave17c2,981$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tulane Green Wave8c2,420$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.415,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tulane Green Wave36c1,955$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.852,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tulane Green Wave16c1,250$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2062,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Tulane Green Wave13c1,087$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tulane Green Wave16c989.28$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.391,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Tulane Green Wave15c722.35$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.911,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wichita State Shockers64c695$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.21,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wichita State Shockers64c644$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8460548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tulane Green Wave12c637.87$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.193,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Wichita State Shockers69c578.83$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.932,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Tulane Green Wave17c420$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.47540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Wichita State Shockers65c404$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Tulane Green Wave33c399.71$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.111,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tulane Green Wave21c332.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Tulane Green Wave33c305.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Tulane Green Wave35c287.17$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Tulane Green Wave12c285.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4487047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tulane Green Wave20c275.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.833,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Tulane Green Wave34c249.06$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.71,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Tulane Green Wave38c233.96$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.97656.6%43 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Wichita State Shockers74c212.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tulane Green Wave14c207.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.711,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Wichita State Shockers67c179$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.071,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Wichita State Shockers63c159.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8113561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Tulane Green Wave13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203826.3%10 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+118.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Tulane Green Wave36c151.57$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave36c135.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Tulane Green Wave34c96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.647245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wichita State Shockers66c89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.532,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wichita State Shockers74c86.77$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.281,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tulane Green Wave18c83.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.371,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xac7c…df06backed Wichita State Shockers62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…c30ebacked Tulane Green Wave38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked Wichita State Shockers63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.376756.7%38 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wichita State Shockers64c78.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wichita State Shockers67c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6584…c018backed Wichita State Shockers68c65.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.97771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tulane Green Wave21c60.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tulane Green Wave40c59.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef4…e2e9backed Wichita State Shockers68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Wichita State Shockers63c55.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6635646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb858…7dc3backed Wichita State Shockers63c55.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.562147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Tulane Green Wave19c52.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020024%48 W · 152 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wichita State Shockers62c46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.481,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Wichita State Shockers60c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Wichita State Shockers77c40.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3713651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x938e…2ee3backed Wichita State Shockers68c39.71$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.712176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Wichita State Shockers65c35.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4821050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Wichita State Shockers66c33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.223243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Wichita State Shockers62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2639050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Tulane Green Wave38c30.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6224340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Wichita State Shockers80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed Wichita State Shockers80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Wichita State Shockers61c22.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9318230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b2…cec2backed Wichita State Shockers66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.142055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Wichita State Shockers68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…2286backed Wichita State Shockers66c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.443956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.