Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceac418fa3fa4a881bef0a00086540e94e840b5b75f8a4cc64acb6e98f66309c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wichita State Shockersof Wichita State Shockers, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Tulane Green Wave | 44c | 147$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Tulane Green Wave | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Wichita State Shockers | 53c | 86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wichita State Shockers | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulane Green Wave | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Tulane Green Wave | 42c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Tulane Green Wave | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Tulane Green Wave | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wichita State Shockers | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Wichita State Shockers | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-3.5)this page
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green WaveWichita State Shockers won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 146.5Under won
- Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.