NHL · resolved market
KHL: Barys Astana vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda7e1691257bec0881ec1608383be89c09d7079c1b82f63a95a48f954d8969b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskof Barys Astana, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 50c | 1,096$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.92 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Barys Astana | 50c | 487.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Barys Astana | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Barys Astana | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Barys Astana | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Barys Astana | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Barys Astana | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Barys Astana | 15c | 85.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Barys Astana | 51c | 62.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…f0c1backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Barys Astana | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Barys Astana | 53c | 27.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed Barys Astana | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Barys Astana | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Barys Astana | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Barys Astana | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.