Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Harvard Crimson vs. Colgate Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb561c050fdbe28989a809151739e9ce3c064fd32f2fe5f48c423217affe2da9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harvard Crimsonof Harvard Crimson, Colgate Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Harvard Crimson | 65c | 3,177$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colgate Raiders | 38c | 2,308$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.21 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colgate Raiders | 35c | 1,288$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.89 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colgate Raiders | 62c | 823$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.82 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colgate Raiders | 36c | 547.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Harvard Crimson | 38c | 454.74$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.94 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Colgate Raiders | 45c | 410.53$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Harvard Crimson | 68c | 220$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Harvard Crimson | 64c | 209.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harvard Crimson | 46c | 184.89$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colgate Raiders | 47c | 176.83$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Colgate Raiders | 51c | 170.24$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.04 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 160$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Harvard Crimson | 51c | 139.78$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Colgate Raiders | 44c | 133.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Harvard Crimson | 52c | 126.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Harvard Crimson | 39c | 124.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Harvard Crimson | 56c | 124.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 119.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Harvard Crimson | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 97.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colgate Raiders | 26c | 81.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Colgate Raiders | 57c | 68.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Harvard Crimson | 39c | 67.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Colgate Raiders | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Harvard Crimson | 37c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Harvard Crimson | 66c | 60.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Harvard Crimson | 39c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 46.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Harvard Crimson | 39c | 38.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Harvard Crimson | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Harvard Crimson | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Colgate Raiders | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Colgate Raiders | 75c | 26.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 24.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Harvard Crimson | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Colgate Raiders | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Colgate Raiders | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 19.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Colgate Raiders | 61c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Colgate Raiders | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Harvard Crimson vs. Colgate Raidersthis page
- Harvard Crimson vs. Colgate Raiders: O/U 140.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.