NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb830d9489a0bc4ccd8a69e133694a6ee741dd954713a46a0e12fb45a8ee007cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 60c | 8,286$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 3,233$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 40c | 2,846$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b7…dbdabacked Under | 51c | 2,548$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 50c | 2,171$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.3 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 39c | 1,553$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.45 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 60c | 1,323$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.59 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 40c | 438$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 40c | 300.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd80…eb96backed Under | 59c | 246.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 57c | 214$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 55c | 190.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 41c | 185$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 45c | 183$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 41c | 181$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 58c | 141$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 57c | 139$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 58c | 85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 43c | 83.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 42c | 75.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 45c | 72.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…dbf6backed Under | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 42c | 55.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 42c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Over | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 42c | 42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Over | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Over | 42c | 37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Over | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Over | 42c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Over | 42c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 43c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 48c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5this page
- Bruins vs. KrakenKraken won
- Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.