NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9d752fa095496addd7f5b288e6bd78ce961f8b75ef75af55cec815c7071bb64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 8,713$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,031.74 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 3,998$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.26 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 2,876$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.09 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 2,758$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.63 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 502.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 473.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.59 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Over | 54c | 277.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 255.5$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 247.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 46c | 173.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Over | 53c | 162$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 146.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 133$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 53c | 131.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Over | 53c | 91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 47c | 85.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Over | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Over | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 71.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 52c | 66.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 55.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 48c | 48.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Under | 47c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 38.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Under | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Under | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 32.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 48c | 31.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.38per pick | 48cpaid | -80%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed Under | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb671…6840backed Under | 49c | 26.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Under | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e9…bf38backed Over | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. KrakenKraken won
- Bruins vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.