Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Troy Trojans vs. Georgia State Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c10dcbbae6f1d1d4ed26608ae95aa539a8964347e7f1eac5bb06e2c47cfda18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troy Trojansof Troy Trojans, Georgia State Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 1,760$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.57 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…f416backed Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 1,458$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 1,338$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 985.69$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Troy Trojans | 68c | 818.24$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.38 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Georgia State Panthers | 36c | 709.87$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.91 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgia State Panthers | 30c | 703.08$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.49 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia State Panthers | 24c | 359.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Georgia State Panthers | 32c | 317.09$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Troy Trojans | 76c | 311$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.54 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Troy Trojans | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia State Panthers | 28c | 254.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia State Panthers | 25c | 245.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked Georgia State Panthers | 12c | 207.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Troy Trojans | 75c | 204.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Troy Trojans | 56c | 148.43$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Georgia State Panthers | 19c | 141.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Troy Trojans | 74c | 113.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Troy Trojans | 59c | 88.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 22c | 83.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Troy Trojans | 72c | 74.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Georgia State Panthers | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Georgia State Panthers | 28c | 52.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia State Panthers | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia State Panthers | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…abb4backed Georgia State Panthers | 29c | 39.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Troy Trojans | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Georgia State Panthers | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgia State Panthers | 35c | 34.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Troy Trojans | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Troy Trojans | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…98e2backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 28.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Troy Trojans | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Troy Trojans | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Troy Trojans | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Troy Trojans | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Troy Trojans | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Troy Trojans | 63c | 17.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Troy Trojans | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Troy Trojans | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Troy Trojans | 70c | 14.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.