Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c48c49c1c236ecd665fa9f0fda8dde8edefd5e779527fef4c3b8387ff692679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquette Golden Eaglesof Xavier Musketeers, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,008
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Xavier Musketeers | 5c | 5,158$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.94 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 78c | 3,780$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Xavier Musketeers | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 66c | 2,670$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 79c | 2,379$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.73 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 67c | 1,588$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.04 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 1,580$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.4 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 1,250$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 1,103$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.94 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Xavier Musketeers | 28c | 931.78$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Xavier Musketeers | 4c | 853.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 752.6$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 79c | 700.67$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 70c | 663.33$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.81 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Xavier Musketeers | 20c | 582.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.91 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 75c | 534.2$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xavier Musketeers | 23c | 452$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 441$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 64c | 400.68$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 389$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 323.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 66c | 285.68$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 66c | 259.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 215.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Xavier Musketeers | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…592cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 36c | 180.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 75c | 175.17$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 174.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 22c | 165.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 161$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 75c | 159.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Xavier Musketeers | 24c | 155$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Xavier Musketeers | 25c | 136.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…83f8backed Xavier Musketeers | 15c | 131.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xavier Musketeers | 26c | 111.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Xavier Musketeers | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 90.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xavier Musketeers | 18c | 89.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 77c | 87$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 65c | 84.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 28c | 74.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 56.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Xavier Musketeers | 31c | 51.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Xavier Musketeers | 38c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Xavier Musketeers | 34c | 48.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Xavier Musketeers | 24c | 45.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Xavier Musketeers | 29c | 40.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Xavier Musketeers | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Xavier Musketeers | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 69c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xavier Musketeers | 45c | 27.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 74c | 24.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesthis page
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-4.5)Xavier Musketeers won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.