Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67c3f1d8f049f8abc568a420e925b7da6be2b0a959c51d9fa6961f8a1a8163ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xavier Musketeersof Marquette Golden Eagles, Xavier Musketeers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Xavier Musketeers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 4,391$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 1,232$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.68 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 698.42$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Xavier Musketeers | 51c | 653.06$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xavier Musketeers | 48c | 503.02$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Xavier Musketeers | 47c | 453$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 452$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.56 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 400.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Xavier Musketeers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 91.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Xavier Musketeers | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Xavier Musketeers | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed Xavier Musketeers | 49c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Xavier Musketeers | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marquette Golden Eagles (-4.5)this page
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden EaglesMarquette Golden Eagles won
- Xavier Musketeers vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.