Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf14f334449a254c70065025c2a75b21444ebb7bec486ec4659fa1f0cc503be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,901
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab98…efd2backed Over | 4c | 5,488$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Over | 66c | 1,595$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 57c | 825.57$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.57 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Under | 19c | 706.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 47c | 613.14$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.96 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Under | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 48c | 299.51$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 48c | 166.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Under | 52c | 166.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Under | 49c | 116$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Over | 51c | 106.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Over | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over | 41c | 69.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…c5b1backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 59c | 44.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 42.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 50c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 51c | 37.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 45c | 37.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f59…3a50backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 32.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7c…639bbacked Over | 31c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2348…9d10backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 51c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Over | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Under | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)Invictus Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.