Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
William & Mary Tribe vs. Monmouth Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea480c2b2f42035ec8d0b8c50ced766ddd2fe360962ab9cf1a81cf82e7e92644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof William & Mary Tribe, Monmouth Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 40c | 1,010$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Monmouth Hawks | 67c | 1,003$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.53 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Monmouth Hawks | 41c | 897$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.23 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 651.4$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed William & Mary Tribe | 26c | 521.44$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked William & Mary Tribe | 20c | 450.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 20c | 402$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 299.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 27c | 257.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 243.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.61 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monmouth Hawks | 67c | 202.66$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Monmouth Hawks | 58c | 167.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed William & Mary Tribe | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed William & Mary Tribe | 38c | 145$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 67c | 124.7$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Monmouth Hawks | 64c | 122.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.63 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Monmouth Hawks | 64c | 121.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 114$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Monmouth Hawks | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 42c | 87.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed William & Mary Tribe | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 84.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monmouth Hawks | 40c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 66.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Monmouth Hawks | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x114c…53f4backed William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed William & Mary Tribe | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed William & Mary Tribe | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed William & Mary Tribe | 59c | 41.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Monmouth Hawks | 43c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…ac26backed Monmouth Hawks | 41c | 26.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Monmouth Hawksthis page
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-2.5)Monmouth Hawks won
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-3.5)Monmouth Hawks won
- William & Mary Tribe vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.